主 题：Beyond Hegemony: China US Rivalry in a Post-Hegemonic World
Professor of Foreign Affairs,
Woodrow Wilson Department of Politics, University of Virginia
With approximately equal masses of productivity and one-third of the world’s total, the relationship of the United States and China will remain the focus of global politics for the foreseeable future. However, neither the US nor China—nor the two together--can exercise the kind of hegemonic control that existed in earlier bipolar and unipolar eras. The diffuse interdependence created by globalization gives every state broader alternatives and raises the cost of hostility. Cold War camps are unlikely to form. Despite apparent parity, the US and China do not face each other as hegemon and challenger, but rather as the largest players in a world that neither controls. As the primary nodes of a world order that they cannot dominate, the United States and China are likely to restrain their rivalry. If not, they will isolate themselves.